The FC Augsburg Files
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Predictions

FC Augsburg

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Akte FC Augsburg — Club-Dossier FC Augsburg
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
Where does Augsburg stand in the table?
Augsburg are 9th with 43 points after 33 matchdays. Goal difference: -12.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Augsburg's probability come from — and what moves it?

Augsburg vs Gladbach · Sat, 05/09, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home49.5%
Draw24%
Away26.5%

Augsburg: 49.5%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Augsburg home 0.0pp
Home49.5%
Draw24%
Away26.5%

Augsburg: 49.5% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home48.1%
Draw24%
Away27.9%

Augsburg: 48.1%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +1.4pp — Pipeline model and Pinnacle nearly identical

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Oracle data unavailable. Next update cycle shortly.

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for FC Augsburg. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 33

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern 33 27 5 1 +82 86
2 BVB 33 21 7 5 +34 70
3 Leipzig 33 20 5 8 +22 65
4 Stuttgart 33 18 7 8 +22 61
5 Hoffenheim 33 18 7 8 +17 61
6 Leverkusen 33 17 7 9 +21 58
7 Freiburg 32 12 8 12 -8 44
8 Eintracht 33 11 10 12 -4 43
9 Augsburg 33 12 7 14 -12 43
10 Mainz 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Gladbach 33 8 11 14 -15 35
12 HSV 32 8 10 14 -15 34
13 Union 32 8 9 15 -20 33
14 Koeln 32 7 11 14 -8 32
15 Werder 33 8 8 17 -21 32
16 Wolfsburg 33 6 8 19 -26 26
17 St. Pauli 33 6 8 19 -29 26
18 Heidenheim 32 5 8 19 -31 23