The FC Augsburg Files
DE
Predictions

FC Augsburg

Polymarket and Altus Alpha Predictions

Tools for professional traders.

Next Match
Werder vs Augsburg
Kickoff
Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Oracle
41.4% / 24.3% / 34.3%
Akte FC Augsburg — Club-Dossier FC Augsburg
Predictions
Deutsch
Frequently Asked Questions
What is Augsburg's win probability against Werder?
The Pinnacle Oracle calculates 34.3% win probability for Augsburg (away).
Where does Augsburg stand in the table?
Augsburg are 3th with 7 points after 3 matchdays. Goal difference: +6.
What is the Pinnacle Oracle?
The Oracle removes the bookmaker margin (vig) from Pinnacle odds and normalizes to 100% — the sharpest available probability estimate.

Pinnacle Oracle

Oracle Pipeline BETA

Four stages, one question: where does Augsburg's probability come from — and what moves it?

Werder vs Augsburg · Sat, 09/19, 01:30 PM

1

Base Model

Table + ppg

Home26.2%
Draw24%
Away49.8%

Augsburg: 49.8%

2

Adjustments

Statistical Intelligence

  • ⚪ Augsburg away 0.0pp
Home26.2%
Draw24%
Away49.8%

Augsburg: 49.8% (0.0pp)

3

Pinnacle Oracle

Vig-removed

Home41.4%
Draw24.3%
Away34.3%

Augsburg: 34.3%

4

Smart Money

Line movement

Stage 4 in development — line history will be persisted from next season.

Model vs. Pinnacle: +15.5pp — Pipeline model sees Augsburg stronger than Pinnacle

The pipeline is transparent: Stage 1 is a simple table model, Stage 2 applies significant splits from Statistical Intelligence, Stage 3 shows what Pinnacle (the sharpest bookmaker in the world) says. Stage 4 (sharp-money line movement) will follow once we persist line history.

Source: Pinnacle via TheOddsAPI · Updated: Sun 13 Sept, 18:00

Werder vs Augsburg Sat 19 Sept, 13:30
Werder 41.4% 2.30
Draw 24.3% 3.92
Augsburg 34.3% 2.78
Spread Augsburg +0.25 @ 1.83
Total O/U 3 @ 1.82 / 2.03
Margin: 4.96%

Value Signals

No active Polymarket events for FC Augsburg. Oracle data only.

Community Forecasts

Metaculus-style forecasts — no real money, fully compliant.

All 73 questions on Akte Bundesliga Forecasts →

Bundesliga Table · Matchday 3

# Club MP W D L GD Pts
1 Freiburg 3 3 0 0 +9 9
2 BVB 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Augsburg 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Bayern 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Leipzig 3 2 0 1 +6 6
6 Elversberg 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Leverkusen 3 1 1 1 +3 4
8 Mainz 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Eintracht 3 1 1 1 -1 4
10 Werder 3 1 1 1 -1 4
11 Schalke 04 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Koeln 3 1 1 1 -2 4
13 Hoffenheim 3 1 0 2 -1 3
14 Stuttgart 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Paderborn 3 0 1 2 -4 1
16 Union 3 0 1 2 -6 1
17 Gladbach 3 0 0 3 -9 0
18 HSV 3 0 0 3 -12 0